Early Box Office Tracking For James Gunn’s Superman Predicts Blockbuster Opening Weekend

Box office tracking for Superman’s opening weekend predicts that the film could be a huge hit for DC Studios and Warner Bros at large. Directed by James Gunn, the DC Universe movie stars David Corenswet, Nicholas Hoult, Rachel Brosnahan, Anthony Carrigan, Edi Gathegi, Sara Sampaio, Isabela Merced, and Nathan Fillion. The film will focus on an early career Superman/Clark Kent navigating his double life, threats such as Lex Luthor, public perception of his heroics, and dealing with the Justice Gang, a group of heroes whose approach clashes with his own.

Per Box Office Theory, its opening debut will likely fall in the $154-$175 million range domestically. This would place it among the largest first-weekend grosses of 2025. The budget for the film has not yet been reported, therefore its breakeven point cannot be calculated.

What The Superman Box Office Projections Mean

Superman is the primary major studio release slated for July 11, 2025. Notably, Jurassic World Rebirth will come out on July 2, so there will already be another potential blockbuster in theaters when the Man of Steel makes his debut. Moreover, two weeks after Superman is released, The Fantastic Four: First Steps hits theaters. This potentially sets the stage for a DC versus Marvel showdown.

Aside from the competition the movie may face, another clarifying figure is the respective opening weekend earnings of past DC films. While Superman is in a different continuity, these numbers gauge public interest. In the last 15 years, the highest domestic opening weekend for a movie featuring Superman was Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice with $166 million. The lowest (excluding those he only cameoed in) was Justice League with $93.8 million.

Both of these films featured co-headlining or ensemble cast members, so a more apt comparison would be Man of Steel’s opening domestic haul of $116.6 million. Given these early projections, Superman could outpace Man of Steel right out of the gate.

Our Take On The Superman Box Office Projections

Though the aforementioned figures are not adjusted for inflation, the projections for Superman’s domestic opening set it up to surpass its recent DC predecessors. Granted that these are theoretical, they should not be taken at face value. That said, the buzz surrounding Superman is strong, with its first teaser racking up 250 million+ views across all platforms. If that momentum is maintained during its release cycle, the DCU film could wind up being massively successful. Moreover, its competition is not especially steep for those first two weeks, and word-of-mouth could set it up for further profitability, provided it is positive.

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